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Crucial Exams

PgMP Practice Question

During the second year of a three-year digital-modernization program at a financial-services firm, the weekly earned-value dashboard shows the cumulative Cost Performance Index (CPI) slipping from 0.97 to 0.93 over the last four reporting periods. The executive sponsor asks whether this decline is a random fluctuation or an early warning that final program costs could exceed the approved funding cap.

To answer, the program manager gathers CPI values from every prior reporting cycle, plots them on a control chart, calculates the slope of the line, and extrapolates the trajectory to estimate the most probable CPI at completion if current conditions persist.

Which analytical technique is the program manager using to develop this forward-looking projection?

  • Root cause analysis

  • Monte Carlo simulation

  • Trend analysis

  • Variance analysis

PgMP
Strategic Program Alignment
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